Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca Jorge

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

91.3%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 16:08 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $118,401

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 91.3% · Sep 18, 04:00 PM

70% 83% 96% Sep 17 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Current 91.3% · 17h of stored history · 18 pts

Current

91.3%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

18 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 91.3%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 94.0%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 78.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 75.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 76.0%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM 76.0%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM 76.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.8 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$137.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$118.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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