Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Iva Jovic

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

26.0%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 00:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $118,274
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 26.0% · Sep 19, 12:00 AM

21% 28% 35% Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 18 Sep 19 Current 26.0% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

26.0%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 26.0%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM 24.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+3.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$135.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$118.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

26

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 27
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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