Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Bryce Nakashima

Open · Resolves in 2 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 20:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $167,088

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

21h of stored history

22 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 08:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 8:30:00 PM	100.0%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	76.0%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	65.0%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	63.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	63.0%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.0%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+35.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$140.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$167.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 2 days

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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