Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

98.2%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability rose 1.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 21:20 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $49,270
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

98.2%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 09:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/24/2026, 9:15:00 PM	98.2%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM	98.3%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM	98.0%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM	98.4%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 PM	97.4%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM	98.2%
9/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM	98.2%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM	98.0%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM	95.0%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM	97.6%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM	95.3%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM	95.2%
9/24/2026, 11:15:00 AM	95.4%
9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM	94.3%
9/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM	92.5%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM	93.8%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM	96.4%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM	95.3%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM	95.4%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM	95.4%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM	95.3%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM	96.3%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM	96.3%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM	96.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$74.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$49.3K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 5

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 44

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

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