Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?

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Current Probability

0.9%

24h Change

-46.5 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability fell 46.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 15:45 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $11,643
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.9%

24h Change

-46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

50 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 03:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM	0.9%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.8%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.3%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.4%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	2.8%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	2.5%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM	2.8%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	2.9%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	2.4%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	3.9%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	3.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	4.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM	4.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	6.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	5.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	18.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	30.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	28.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	27.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	20.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	38.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	41.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$135.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 40

Data Confidence Medium (62)

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