Spread: Delaware (-4.5)

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Current Probability

37.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $7,212

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

37.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	37.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	31.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$265.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$7.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

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