Spread: Delaware (-5.5)

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Current Probability

35.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

12/100

Data Confidence

Low (32)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($1,083)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

35.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	35.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	30.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$226.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$1.1K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 12/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 78

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (32)

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