Spread: Penn State (-39.5)

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Current Probability

78.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

11/100

Data Confidence

Low (31)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($1,249)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

78.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	78.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.0%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+28.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$145.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$1.2K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 11/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 76

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (31)

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