Buffalo vs. Penn State: O/U 49.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

85.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 17:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $6,781

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 85.5% · Sep 19, 05:00 PM

42% 66% 90% Sep 18 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 85.5% · 23h of stored history · 24 pts

Current

85.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 85.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 AM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM 47.5%
9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM 47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+40.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$192.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$6.8K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.