Spread: Alabama (-18.5)

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Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Medium (55)

24h probability fell 2.5pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($20)
Medium data confidence (55)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

-2.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	29.0%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	31.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM	48.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	53.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+19.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$121.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20

Market Significance

Moderate (59)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 8

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 61

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (55)

Next Steps

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