Spread: South Carolina (-3.5)

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Current Probability

21.0%

24h Change

-30.5 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 30.5pp

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $33,816
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

21.0%

24h Change

-30.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

31 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM	21.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	56.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	60.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-39.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$135.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$33.8K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 87

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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