Spread: West Virginia (-0.5)

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Current Probability

34.0%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (55)

24h probability fell 16.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 23:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($11)
Medium data confidence (55)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

34.0%

24h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 11:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM	34.0%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	21.0%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	22.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	22.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 12:15:00 PM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM	28.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM	23.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 AM	23.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+11.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$173.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$11

Market Significance

Moderate (58)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 19, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 53

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 61

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (55)

Next Steps

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