Spread: San Diego State (-1.5)

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

8.5%

24h Change

-42.0 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability fell 42.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $31,284
Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

8.5%

24h Change

-42.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

35 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM	8.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	6.0%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	18.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	54.0%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	50.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-10.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$93.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$31.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 54

Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗