Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)

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Current Probability

58.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

Medium (63)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $30,768
Medium data confidence (63)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

58.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

35 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM	58.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.0%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM	53.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM	55.0%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM	57.0%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM	56.0%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM	57.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM	57.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM	58.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM	58.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+7.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$154.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$30.8K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 20, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 48

Data Confidence Medium (63)

Next Steps

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