Davis Cup: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 49.5pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $21,659
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Sep 20, 04:30 AM

13% 56% 100% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Current 99.5% · 1d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+49.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 99.5%
9/19/2026, 11:45:00 PM 99.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 20.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 49.0%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.0%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 68.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 68.0%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 68.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 67.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 70.0%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 69.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 67.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 67.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 71.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 70.0%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 69.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 68.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 70.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$108.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$21.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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