Davis Cup: Arthur Fery vs. Andres Andrade

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

-27.5 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

24h probability fell 27.5pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $153,668
  • Medium data confidence (61)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 50.5% · Sep 21, 04:00 AM

48% 65% 81% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 21 Current 50.5% · 2d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

50.5%

24h Change

-27.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

55 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 50.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 60.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 66.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$166.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$153.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 27, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 92
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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