Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-19 20:19 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $85,345

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Sep 19, 08:15 PM

9% 55% 100% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Current 99.5% · 15h of stored history · 17 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

15h of stored history

17 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 19, 08:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/19/2026, 8:15:00 PM 99.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 34.0%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.0%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 17.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 AM 18.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM 21.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+65.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$107.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$85.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Sep 26, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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