Korea Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sofia Kenin

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

26.5%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability fell 22.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 11:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $263,731
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

26.5%

24h Change

-22.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

74 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM	26.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	31.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	25.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	43.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	46.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM	48.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$128.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$263.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 73

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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