Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Elvina Kalieva

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

98.0%

24h Change

+23.1 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability rose 23.1pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $66,108
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 98.0% · Sep 21, 04:00 AM

70% 85% 100% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 21 Current 98.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

98.0%

24h Change

+23.1 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM 98.0%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM 74.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 75.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM 76.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 76.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 74.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 73.0%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 75.0%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 75.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 76.0%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 75.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+23.6 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$192.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$66.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

41

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 77
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 99
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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