Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Ilia Simakin

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

42.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 04:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $111,263

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 42.5% · Sep 20, 04:30 AM

39% 55% 70% Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 19 Sep 20 Current 42.5% · 17h of stored history · 18 pts

Current

42.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

18 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 04:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 67.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 43.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM 42.5%
9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM 41.5%
9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM 43.5%
9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM 49.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$151.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$111.3K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Sep 27, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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