Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?

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Current Probability

99.2%

24h Change

+48.7 pp

Signal Score

64/100

Data Confidence

Medium (62)

24h probability rose 48.7pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 12:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $23,479
Medium data confidence (62)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.2%

24h Change

+48.7 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

45 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 12:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 12:15:00 PM	99.2%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.4%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM	98.0%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM	97.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 AM	95.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM	83.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM	79.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM	76.5%
9/21/2026, 5:00:00 AM	71.5%
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	71.5%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	66.5%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	55.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	72.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	61.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM	55.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	58.0%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	63.0%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	46.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.2 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$107.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$23.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 21, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 64/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 41

Data Confidence Medium (62)

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