Singapore Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

14.0%

24h Change

-41.5 pp

Signal Score

73/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 41.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $65,679
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 14.0% · Sep 21, 04:00 AM

9% 37% 64% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 21 Current 14.0% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

14.0%

24h Change

-41.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

36 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM 14.0%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM 59.0%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 59.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 58.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 55.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 55.0%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.0%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-45.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$90.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$65.7K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 95
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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