St. Tropez: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Billy Harris

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

15.0%

24h Change

-47.5 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 47.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $60,804
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

15.0%

24h Change

-47.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

66 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM	15.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	91.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	80.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	62.0%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	62.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-65.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$136.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$60.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 84

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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