Genoa 2: Sean Cuenin vs Kimmer Coppejans

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 47.4pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $97,849
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 22, 04:30 PM

0% 26% 52% Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Current 0.1% · 3d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-47.4 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

67 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 24.0%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$98.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$97.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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