Plovdiv 4: Adrian Andreev vs Saba Purtseladze

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+29.0 pp

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-20 22:17 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $10,021

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Sep 20, 10:15 PM

67% 84% 100% Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Sep 20 Current 99.5% · 22h of stored history · 26 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+29.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

22h of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 20, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM 99.6%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM 99.6%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM 99.5%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM 71.5%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM 75.0%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM 75.0%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM 73.5%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM 71.5%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM 71.5%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM 71.5%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM 71.5%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM 70.0%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 AM 70.0%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 AM 70.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM 73.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$240.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$10.0K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 27, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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