Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Laura Pigossi

Open · Resolves in 4 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

77.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

Medium (59)

24h probability rose 25.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $41,375
Medium data confidence (59)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

77.5%

24h Change

+25.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM	77.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	87.0%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	60.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	60.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	57.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	56.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	54.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-9.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$89.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$41.4K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 4 days

End Date

Sep 28, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 83

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (59)

Next Steps

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