Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek

Open · Resolves in 5 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

58.5%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 27.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 07:34 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $60,325
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

58.5%

24h Change

-27.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

64 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM	58.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM	59.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM	58.0%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.0%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM	59.0%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM	60.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM	59.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM	58.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM	59.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	84.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	83.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	84.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$87.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$60.3K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 5 days

End Date

Sep 29, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 90

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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