Ankara: Katarina Kuzmova vs Cagla Buyukakcay

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-72.5 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 72.5pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $92,167
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 22, 04:30 PM

0% 46% 92% Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Current 0.1% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-72.5 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 50.1%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 84.0%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 71.0%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM 72.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM 72.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-84.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$105.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$92.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 29, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 92
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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