Hangzhou Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

37.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

27/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 11:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $110,983
  • Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 37.5% · Sep 24, 11:15 AM

37% 40% 41% Sep 23 Sep 23 Sep 24 Sep 24 Current 37.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

37.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

73 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 11:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/24/2026, 11:15:00 AM 37.5%
9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 38.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM 39.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 3d of listing history

24h Volume

$76.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$111.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 60
Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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