St. Tropez: Hugo Grenier vs Thomas Faurel

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 11:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $140,534

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Sep 22, 11:15 AM

0% 35% 70% Sep 21 Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 22 Current 0.1% · 17h of stored history · 19 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

19 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 11:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.1%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 23.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 63.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM 63.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM 63.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM 59.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-23.4 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$144.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$140.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 29, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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