St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Tristan Schoolkate

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

22.0%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 16:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $47,055

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

22.0%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

23h of stored history

24 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM	22.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM	53.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM	38.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM	32.0%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM	32.0%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.0%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.0%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM	32.0%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM	31.0%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM	33.5%
9/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM	38.5%
9/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM	38.0%
9/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM	39.0%
9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM	35.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-16.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$116.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$47.1K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 29, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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