Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

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Current Probability

59.5%

24h Change

+22.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 22.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $21,554
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 59.5% · Sep 23, 12:00 AM

34% 48% 62% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Current 59.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

59.5%

24h Change

+22.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 37.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+22.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$97.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$21.6K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

39

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 75
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 99
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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