Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-21.5 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability fell 21.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $7,754
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Sep 23, 12:00 AM

29% 43% 56% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Current 31.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-21.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 31.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 46.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-14.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$112.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$7.8K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

38

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 72
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 79
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.