Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Bernard Tomic vs Fajing Sun

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 07:34 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $156,419

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 31.5% · Sep 23, 07:30 AM

28% 48% 68% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 23 Current 31.5% · 14h of stored history · 15 pts

Current

31.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

14h of stored history

15 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM 31.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM 36.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 64.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.0%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 61.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 63.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-33.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$141.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$156.4K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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