Buenos Aires 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Hugo Dellien

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

64.5%

24h Change

+34.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 34.0pp

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 22:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $142,535
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 64.5% · Sep 23, 10:45 PM

16% 43% 69% Sep 22 Sep 23 Sep 23 Sep 23 Current 64.5% · 1d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

64.5%

24h Change

+34.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 10:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM 64.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM 25.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM 21.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM 20.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM 23.0%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM 23.0%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM 22.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM 28.5%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM 30.5%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM 29.5%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 30.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+39.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$111.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$142.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 92
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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