Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current Probability
1.6%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
Signal Score
28/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
volume is 2.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- 24h volume is 2.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $389,094
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
1.6%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$94.7K
Volume vs Baseline
2.4x baseline
Liquidity
$389.1K
Market Significance
High (88)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 775 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
45
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.