Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Open · Resolves in 775 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

volume is 486.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-14 19:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 486.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,807,637

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$100.3K

Volume vs Baseline

486.1x baseline

Liquidity

$2.8M

Market Significance

High (88)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 775 days

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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