Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Open · Resolves in 826 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 0.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.0pp
  • 24h volume is 0.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,297,187

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.4%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$47.8K

Volume vs Baseline

0.2x baseline

Liquidity

$2.3M

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 826 days

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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