Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Open · Resolves in 778 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 26.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 35 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-16 20:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 26.0x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,748,119

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$176.7K

Volume vs Baseline

26.0x baseline

Liquidity

$2.7M

Market Significance

High (90)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 778 days

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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