Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Open · Resolves in 826 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 2.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 2.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,677,132

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.3%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$116.0K

Volume vs Baseline

2.9x baseline

Liquidity

$2.7M

Market Significance

High (89)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 826 days

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Attention Score

51

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 66
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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