Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current Probability
11.2%
24h Change
+2.1 pp
Signal Score
43/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability rose 2.1pp; volume is 18.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 2.1pp
- 24h volume is 18.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $260,527
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
11.2%
24h Change
+2.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$155.3K
Volume vs Baseline
18.9x baseline
Liquidity
$260.5K
Market Significance
High (89)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 778 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.