Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Current Probability
8.1%
24h Change
+0.4 pp
Signal Score
37/100
Data Confidence
High (83)
24h probability rose 0.4pp; volume is 2.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.4pp
- 24h volume is 2.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $379,271
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
8.1%
24h Change
+0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$34.2K
Volume vs Baseline
2.9x baseline
Liquidity
$379.3K
Market Significance
High (85)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 826 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
50
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 37/100.