Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Current Probability
1.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
32/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- 24h volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $153,894
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
1.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$88.6K
Volume vs Baseline
2.8x baseline
Liquidity
$153.9K
Market Significance
High (88)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 775 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
50
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 32/100.