Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Open · Resolves in 780 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 0.4pp; volume is 481.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 15 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-03 22:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.4pp
  • 24h volume is 481.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,194,287

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$1.7M

Volume vs Baseline

481.8x baseline

Liquidity

$2.2M

Market Significance

High (94)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 780 days

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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