Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current Probability
2.6%
24h Change
-0.1 pp
Signal Score
42/100
Data Confidence
High (81)
volume is 52.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- 24h volume is 52.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $305,781
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
2.6%
24h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$301.2K
Volume vs Baseline
52.4x baseline
Liquidity
$305.8K
Market Significance
High (91)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 778 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
69
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.