Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
17/100
Data Confidence
High (71)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $858,615
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.3%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 9/14/2026, 12:15:00 PM | 0.3% |
| 9/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.3% |
| 9/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
| 9/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
| 9/14/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 0.3% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$200.0K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$858.6K
Market Significance
High (90)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 778 days
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 93
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (71)