2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

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Current Probability

64.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

56/100

Data Confidence

High (90)

24h probability rose 1.0pp; volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 33 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-10-03 11:21 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $2,468,905

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

64.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$461.4K

Volume vs Baseline

11.2x baseline

Liquidity

$2.5M

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Nov 4, 2026

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 56/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 100
Data Confidence High (90)

Next Steps

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