2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Open · Resolves in 40 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

7.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 0.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-24 11:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
24h volume is 0.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $556,647

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

7.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

180 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 24, 11:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/24/2026, 11:15:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 7:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 6:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 5:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 3:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 2:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/24/2026, 12:00:00 AM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 6:15:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM	7.5%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM	7.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.4K

Volume vs Baseline

0.8x baseline

Liquidity

$556.6K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 40 days

End Date

Nov 3, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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