Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Current Probability
34.5%
24h Change
-4.0 pp
Signal Score
52/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 4.0pp; volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 4.0pp
- 24h volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $256,587
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
34.5%
24h Change
-4.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$69.8K
Volume vs Baseline
4.9x baseline
Liquidity
$256.6K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Attention Score
71
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.