Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Current Probability
13.5%
24h Change
-6.0 pp
Signal Score
50/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability fell 6.0pp; volume is 18.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 6.0pp
- 24h volume is 18.3x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $53,748
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
13.5%
24h Change
-6.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$75.7K
Volume vs Baseline
18.3x baseline
Liquidity
$53.7K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 101 days
End Date
Jan 3, 2027
Attention Score
73
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.