Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Current Probability
14.7%
24h Change
+3.4 pp
Signal Score
45/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 3.4pp; volume is 106.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 3.4pp
- 24h volume is 106.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $34,123
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
14.7%
24h Change
+3.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$91.1K
Volume vs Baseline
106.5x baseline
Liquidity
$34.1K
Market Significance
High (75)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 99 days
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Attention Score
71
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.